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Archive for May, 2008

Do you think the price of oil and gas will ever come back down?

May 30, 2008 By: admin Category: oil prices 22 Comments →

oil price
Josh3 asked:


What are your feelings about gas prices ever returning to $2.99 a gallon or even $3.50 a gallon. Or will oil prices ever return to below $100.00 a barrell again anytime in the near future?

Victoria
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Difficult to Stop Increased Oil Price

May 30, 2008 By: admin Category: oil prices Comments Off

oil price
Stig Kristoffersen asked:



The finance ministers from the G-8 countries met in Tokyo today to discus the cause of rise in oil and food prices. On the meeting the ministers concluded that there is no simple solution to prohibit the present record strong price growth.
There is however disagreement between the ministers whether it is the speculations that drives the prices upwards or not.
But after pressure from several ministers including the Italian Finance minister Giuli Tremonti the G8-ministers agreed to ask IMF to look closer at how much speculation contributes to hike the oil price upwards.
Some of the G8 members calls for financial factors such as speculations contributes to surge the oil price, while others again claims it is unlikely that this is the cause for the price surge these days. On basis of this we have asked the IMF to make a report. The finance minister of Japan Fukushiro Nukaga is of the opinion that the balance between the supply and demand is the main factor for price surge as well as other financial factors.
Nukaga states, they can not be sure and that is why they have asked IMF to look closer into the matter and see if there can be any justification for the speculation theory.
The finance secretary of US, Hank Paulson, has no faith in the speculation theory. Hank Paulson states that people look for short sighted solutions and the danger of making the main blame on speculators is that we do not seek the solutions needed now. He is of the opinion that we should invest significant amounts into fossil fuels and other alternative energy sources.
The british chancelor Alistar Darling supports him in this matter. She is of the opinion that there is no purpose letting people waiting for a report that will not bring us any steps further than we are today.

Stacy
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New Year and Historical High for Oil Prices Primes Montello to Grow Exponentially Via the Drill Bit

May 26, 2008 By: admin Category: oil prices Comments Off

oil price
Doug Hadfield asked:


The year 2007 was certainly a year to be remembered by investors familiar with Montello Resources (TSX.V: MEO). The company and its JV partner Pennine Petroleum Corp. (TSX.V:PNN) have achieved success at their Pincher Creek operations in Alberta, with one new well completed and scheduled to soon become a producer.

In Tennessee, the company drilled one of that state’s deepest wells ever, totaling 9,557 feet. The company also succeeded in adding – after a year of negotiations – another 190 acres to its land holdings within the Morgan Highpoint Area in Tennessee, adjacent to the infamous Howard-White #1 well, which blew out after briefly producing at an estimated initial flow rate of over 400 barrels of light gravity crude per hour in 2002.

Add to all that, the breaking of a historical threshold – the price of oil has now, for the first time, passed the $100 ceiling. This fact can only bode well for juniors involved in oil and gas exploration. But for Montello, the news is particularly heartening, in the sense that the new oil price preps this producer for production in Alberta and potential production in Tennessee.

For Montello, led by CEO and President Bill Cawker, 2007 was a year of significant growth and change.

In August, the company entered into an agreement to participate in the Mannville recompletion of the Pennine Well at Pincher Creek, in southern Alberta. Four companies were involved in the effort. Specifically, Montello holds a 25% interest, with the remainder of the project held by Pennine (37.5%), Paramount Resources (25%), and a private company as the other JV partner.

The team soon found success, hitting pay dirt in September. Initial swabbing rates were 337 barrels of condensate and 500 million cubic feet (MCF) per day of natural gas. The company expects to begin receiving revenues from this well by the end of April 2008.

The Pincher Creek field is one of the most prolific fields in Alberta and has produced more than 600 billion cubic feet (BCF) of gas and 1 million-plus barrels of associated liquids since 1947 from the Mississippian-age carbonates of the Rundle Formation. Total production from the Pincher Creek field is 2 MCF; an estimated 225 BCF of gas remains to be produced from the Mississippian formations in the productive plates that have been accessed to date.

In 2007, Montello also made strides toward making a name for itself in Tennessee by refocusing its efforts on deep prospectively high-impact plays.

Hence, the company dropped all ownership of 52 shallow oil and gas wells. Key to its new strategy is its newest acquisition – 190 acres of new prospective oil concessions in close proximity to its existing property on the Morgan Highpoint prospect, on which the company has already drilled one deep test well (which has yet to be logged).

In 2008, Montello is in a much better position now to concentrate its energies on developing and hopefully monetizing its prized assets in Morgan County, including drilling at Morgan Highpoint – which is the site of the infamous Howard-White #1 blowout.

Just prior to the Howard-White #1 Well blowout, this well produced at an estimated initial flow rate of over 400 barrels of light gravity crude per hour. The operator of that ill-fated project, Pryor Oil (a private company), also estimated that the well was capable of producing in excess of 5 million cubic feet of gas per day.

A nearby well (John Bowen #1), drilled by another private company, tested at 800 barrels of oil equivalent per day, prior to the owner’s sudden death. The well has yet to be brought online due to legal issues, according to company documents.

Montello cognoscenti will be aware of the company’s first acquisition and subsequent drilling efforts. In July 2007, Montello’s board announced the appointment of Phil Emrich as the Drilling Advisor /Drilling Manager. The highly anticipated drilling of John Bowen #2 test well would become Emrich’s responsibility. The plan: Drill the deepest cased well in the history of oil and gas development in this part of Tennessee and find the source of the previous Howard-White and John Bowen wells.

What some see as a disappointment in that the well has yet to offer clear indications of becoming a spectacular success remains to other investors a silver lining scenario: The well, drilled to 9,557 feet, remains to be completed and logged , an essential factor in determining any oil and/or gas contents of the well bore and surrounding earth.

The well log was to be completed by Haliburton late in 2007. However, the job was postponed due to Thanksgiving scheduling issues; length of time to complete drilling and casing; technical issues with the logging equipment; and the timing of the acquisition by Park Place Energy of Great Northern Oilsands Inc.’s 5% interest in the property.

However, Montello’s final press release for the 2007 season was the very thing many shrewd investors had been waiting for – the company announced it had secured an additional 190 acres within the Morgan Highpoint area. Those familiar with the tongue-in-cheek exploration term “closeology” will understand the significance of this: There is an enormous resource somewhere beneath Morgan Highpoint. That has been proven twice: 400 barrels per hour at Howard-White #1 and another 800 barrels per day at John Bowen #1.

Having access to an additional 190 acres of land in 2008 will allow Montello’s geoscienists to make a discriminating choice on the crucial follow up second test well, scheduled to begin in the first quarter of 2008.

This article is intended for information purposes only, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell the equities of any company mentioned herein. It is based on sources believed to be reliable, but no warranty as to accuracy is expressed or implied. The opinions expressed in the article are those of the author except where statements are attributed to individuals other than the author, in which case the opinions are those of the individual to whom they are attributed.

Dustin

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Rising Oil Prices to Have a Big Impact on Residential Roofing Prices

May 20, 2008 By: admin Category: oil prices Comments Off

oil price
Jason Westfall asked:


Unless you have been in a cave for the last few months all consumer focus is on the rising oil prices. I spoke by phone this week with William Adams the VP of Abraham Lincoln Roofing based in Upstate New York. Adams states “the roofing industry is currently experiencing extreme price volatility due to whats happening in the oil market. Products for residential roofing are going to make a dramatic increase over the next several months.”
The residential roofing products are made of crude oil byproducts. “Just think of a bundle of shingles as a big block of oil”. With a barrel of oil trading at just over $129 a barrel this week one can only wonder where the roofing market will end up. “I rember a barrel of oil trading at just over $60 a barrel last May and now this week I am being told oil prices will reach $150 a barrel this year because supply isn’t keeping up with demand.
“We are keeping a close eye on the pricing of roofing products. We are not as concerned as some of the smaller roofing contractors because of our large volume purchasing power. We have our prices locked in until mid August”. Adams states that his concerns are a are combination of things. “We are concerned with the cost of gas to run our big trucks, rising liability insurance premiums and where the price of materials may wind up”.
Adams predicts thaty the price of roofing materials will rise by 50% by the end of the year. “There will be no such thing as a cheap roofing system. A roof is going to become a major investment and a consumer had better be sure to choose the right contractor for the job. I asked Adams if that will help or hurt his compaany. “Believe it or not it will help the premium roofing contractors like Abraham Lincoln Roofing because consumers will do the homework necessary before they hire someone with the substantial investment involved.”
 

Mark
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How does speculation impact the price of oil?

May 20, 2008 By: admin Category: oil prices 3 Comments →

oil price
Billy R asked:


I’ve heard that oil prices are higher than they would be in a natural supply/demand economy, and that part of this is due to speculation. What is speculation? How is it raising the price of oil? Also, if people or companies are using oil speculation to make money, why don’t more people do it?

Ana
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How long does it take for price of crude oil on a specific day to reflect the price at the pump?

May 17, 2008 By: admin Category: oil prices 2 Comments →

oil price
shinshuku asked:


trying to figure out when is the best time to get gas using recent crude oil price

Randall
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How come price fixing, is not only allowed, but required for gas and oil prices while it is illegal for all?

May 16, 2008 By: admin Category: oil prices 5 Comments →

oil price
Girly Q asked:


other areas of retail??? There are many different companies who drill oil, yet with that particular trade if one company raises it’s prices per barrel of oil, all oil now costs that amount per barrel, where as with any other industry, competitors agreeing to set their rates at the same price would be illegal.

Howard
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Shell Q2 Profits Up 5 Pct on High Oil Prices

May 13, 2008 By: admin Category: oil prices Comments Off

oil price
atomxiao asked:


Royal Dutch Shell Plc  reported a 5 percent rise in second-quarter current cost of supply?http://www.new-energy-supply.com/? (CCS) net income to $7.9 billion on the back of high oil prices.
A spokesman for the world’s second-largest non-government controlled oil company by market value said on Thursday that excluding non-operating items and non-cash accounting charges, the result was $8.6 billion and beat analysts’ forecasts.
A Reuters poll of nine analysts gave an average forecast of $8.3 billion for Shell’s CCS profit excluding such one-off items, up from $6.90 billion in the same period of 2007.
One analyst who asked not to be named said the company’s calculations were probably accurate but criticised the way the numbers were presented. Shell’s reported non-operating items amount to a net gain of $73 million.
It’s a bit confusing,” the analyst said. “I’m not sure why they’ve done it like this.”
CCS?http://www.new-energy-supply.com/? earnings strip out unrealised gains from rises in the value of inventories as oil prices increase and as such are comparable with U.S. net income.
Shell said oil and gas production, including oil sands bitumen production, fell slightly to 3.126 million barrels of oil equivalent per day (boepd) in the second quarter 2008, from 3.178 million boepd in the same quarter last year. (Reporting by
current cost of supply
 
 
 

Stacy
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A Powerful Strategy to Bring Down the Crude Oil Prices

May 11, 2008 By: admin Category: oil prices Comments Off

oil price
Sudhir Goyal asked:


All of us are hit hard by high and rising Crude Oil prices. Since the grains are being used to produce bio-fuels, food prices too has risen sharply. Due to rise in both food and fuel prices the inflation is scaling new heights across the globe. In India, current inflation rate is at a 13 year high.
Production cost and Demand-Supply situation
Most of the nations, for their oil need, are dependent on OPEC (an organisation of 13 oil exporting nations). For OPEC nations, the production cost of one barrel (1 barrel equals 158.9 litre) oil is around 15 to 20 dollars(Source: Business Today). In last one year, world oil consumption has increased from 85 million barrel per day to 86 million barrel per day. However, the oil production is stagnant at last year level of 85 million barrel per day.
Abnormal Oil price rise is due to speculation
Even though there is only 1.2 percent mismatch between demand and supply, the oil prices in last one year has doubled from about 70 dollar a barrel to a level of140 plus dollar a barrel recently. Clearly, this abnormal rise is not reflecting natural market forces of demand and supply.
This abnormal rise in oil prices is a result of very high level of speculation taking place in oil futures at NYMEX in New York and ICE Futures exchange in London. As per one estimate, speculators have taken huge positions of more than 12,000 billion dollars which is roughly seven times of world’s annual oil bill of previous year(Source: The Economic Times). Since OPEC decides actual delivery prices on the basis of prevailing future prices, therefore, we (the oil consumers) are forced to pay an additional speculative premium. According to some experts, this premium is about 50 to 60 dollar per barrel.
The OPEC’s inaction
World’s top leaders including US President George Bush have requested OPEC to increase oil production and thereby check the price manipulation by speculators so that oil prices may come down and adjust to their natural level as guided by true demand-supply forces. However, OPEC is not interested in increasing oil production and thus leaving oil prices for manipulation by speculators.
Alternatively, Even without raising production OPEC can stabilize oil prices by completely disconnecting delivery prices from future market prices. If OPEC starts delivering oil at a fixed price for example @ 80 dollar a barrel, irrespective of future market prices, then even future prices will cool down immediately.
However, by not taking a positive step, OPEC is indirectly supporting speculators.
Windfall gains to OPEC nations
In fact, OPEC has vested interest in high oil prices. At current price level of about 140 plus dollar a barrel, the OPEC nations will get 1,000 billion dollars extra, for same oil quantity, in current year compared to past year. And, this amount is equal to India’s last year GDP i.e. the value of goods and services produced by 1100 million Indians in the whole year. And don’t forget, India is world’s tenth largest economy. In this manner, non OPEC world’s wealth is quickly transferring to OPEC nations.
Why Oil prices will not come down ?
We are bound to have high energy prices situation in future also because following factors which are working in favour of speculators today may continue in future as well :
1. The unwillingness of OPEC to raise production or disconnect delivery prices from future prices.
2. Low margin requirement in futures market is giving enormous financial leveraging to speculators. Currently, it is about 6 percent which means to take position of 100,000 dollar one is required to pay only 6,000 dollar as a margin. This gives speculators a financial leverage of about 16 times of their money.
3. The low cost of capital. Since last year, when US sub-prime (bad housing loan) crisis came to surface, the US central bank Federal Reserve has continuously reduced interest rates to save the real economy from going into recession. This low interest rate is a boon to speculators.
4. The constant depreciation of dollar against other major currencies like euro etc. is prompting speculators to hedge their dollars in oil futures. The trend of dollar depreciation may continue is a common perception.
All this shows that we, the oil consumers, are totally at the mercy of producers (OPEC) and price manipulators (speculators) and are bound to pay exorbitantly high prices for our energy needs. Moreover, recently OPEC Chairman has indicated that oil prices may rise to 150 to 170 dollar a barrel in coming months.
Damaging effect on global economy
In addition to quick transfer of non OPEC nations wealth to OPEC nations, these high crude oil prices will damage global economy seriously. As per an IMF research report, a permanent 5 dollar a barrel rise in oil prices reduces world GDP growth rate by 0.3 percent(Source: Business World). It may be noted that last year world GDP grew by 3.7 percent. The rise of about 60 to 70 dollar a barrel in oil prices in last one year, if it sustains at these levels, will not only reduce world GDP growth drastically but may even trigger a global recession.
Due to slowdown in global economy, there will be large scale of job cuts across the globe and millions of people will become jobless. Grains, in larger quantity, will be diverted for production of more bio-fuels as a oil substitute, which in turn will take already high food prices to newer heights. This will hit hardest the poor people. Millions of poor people will be forced to die of hunger. Out of desperation, many of them will indulge in food riots, a phenomenon we have witnessed in recent past in more than 30 countries.
Rich people, especially of oil importing nations, will not be spared either. They will see massive erosion in their wealth. Sensing the possible global industrial slowdown, Industrial Assets i.e. Shares are biting the dust all over the world. Real Estate prices are also on southwards journey. In India, bank deposits have already started giving negative returns i.e. inflation rate has exceeded interest rate. This may be true in other countries also, I presume. The negative wealth effect leading to reduction in consumption and investment will accelerate economic downturn.
Our collective action is the only solution
The crude prices has taken world economy into a danger zone. In today’s integrated global economy, we all are interdependent and our fortunes are linked. Therefore, all of us are bound to face dire consequences of high energy prices. Should we silently watch OPEC’s inaction and oil speculators price manipulation? I feel, we should not. Then, what should we do? I have a two pronged action plan as detailed below :
1. Reduce oil consumption : We, the oil consumers of non-OPEC nations (as OPEC nations citizens are rather insulated) in general, and individual vehicle owners in particular, should take a collective step to reduce our personal transport oil consumption by 10 to 20 percent in litre terms for next few months. Since personal transportation accounts more than one third of global oil consumption, hence, our collective action will result in about 3 to 6 percent lesser global oil demand. This will completely reverse the demand-supply equation. In the changed scenario of supply exceeding demand, speculators will not be able to hold prices higher for a longer period as they will be forced to unwind their positions. And, this will bring down oil prices.
2. Make protest for margin rise : My US friends should make a strong protest to their government to direct NYMEX to raise margin on oil futures from current level of about 6 percent to the higher level of say 25 to 50 percent. This will reduce financial leveraging power of speculators considerably and will force them to cut their positions. As a result, crude prices will start downward journey. My British friends should also initiate a similar action for ICE Futures Exchange.
Dear friends, if you feel that by above strategy we can collectively bring down oil prices then please tell your friends and relatives to visit my Crude Oil Prices blog so that we can trigger a collective action globally.

Andrea
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The world gold and world oil price increase so much should be good?

May 08, 2008 By: admin Category: oil prices 2 Comments →

oil price
topbestgems asked:


The world gold and oil price increase very much should be making the price of the stock exchange up or down?

Lillian
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