Crude Oil Price Forecast – Where Will Oil Prices Go?
Wednesday, December 2nd, 2009
Jayeshvasava asked:
Looking back to analysts reports from last year, the momentum of crude oil prices seemed hard to counteract. As oil prices rose, many economists predicted long-run oil prices above $200 per barrel based upon growing international demand and a leveling off of global supplies.
Forecasting the future path of crude oil prices is significantly more difficult, as international demand patterns and new supply exploration depends on a wide variety of factors that can be difficult to predict. Consensus estimates on the future of crude oil prices suggest that long-run prices will continue to slowly rise based upon growing demand from developing nations.
Given the adaptation of global financial markets, many analysts expect a more stable band of shifts in global crude prices after last year’s major price swings. Speculation on oil futures markets is more related to fundamentals now that there have been growing restrictions on futures markets trading from the FDIC and international governments. Proposals that seek to move oil trading away from dollar based currencies to a basket of international currencies could further solidify international oil prices in a long, slow upward swing.
Linked to the dollar, which is facing inflation pressures related to growing US debt, crude oil prices can be highly uncertain. OPEC is continuing to explore alternatives to trading global commodities in dollars, considering an IMF (International Monetary Fund) proposal to trade commodities in a basket of international currencies.
Consensus estimates anticipate a slight upward trend in oil prices for the remainder of the year, with a stabilization of prices based upon the end of the global recession. With a cold winter, demand for crude oil is anticipated to increase, resulting in upward pressure on crude prices as we head toward the end of the calendar year.
Portable Closet
Looking back to analysts reports from last year, the momentum of crude oil prices seemed hard to counteract. As oil prices rose, many economists predicted long-run oil prices above $200 per barrel based upon growing international demand and a leveling off of global supplies.
Forecasting the future path of crude oil prices is significantly more difficult, as international demand patterns and new supply exploration depends on a wide variety of factors that can be difficult to predict. Consensus estimates on the future of crude oil prices suggest that long-run prices will continue to slowly rise based upon growing demand from developing nations.
Given the adaptation of global financial markets, many analysts expect a more stable band of shifts in global crude prices after last year’s major price swings. Speculation on oil futures markets is more related to fundamentals now that there have been growing restrictions on futures markets trading from the FDIC and international governments. Proposals that seek to move oil trading away from dollar based currencies to a basket of international currencies could further solidify international oil prices in a long, slow upward swing.
Linked to the dollar, which is facing inflation pressures related to growing US debt, crude oil prices can be highly uncertain. OPEC is continuing to explore alternatives to trading global commodities in dollars, considering an IMF (International Monetary Fund) proposal to trade commodities in a basket of international currencies.
Consensus estimates anticipate a slight upward trend in oil prices for the remainder of the year, with a stabilization of prices based upon the end of the global recession. With a cold winter, demand for crude oil is anticipated to increase, resulting in upward pressure on crude prices as we head toward the end of the calendar year.
Portable Closet
